Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Davis
Big West
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#199
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#203
Pace70.0#112
Improvement-0.3#182

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#125
Improvement-2.2#257

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#272
Improvement+1.9#75
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 21   @ Oklahoma St. L 65-73 5%     0 - 1 +8.6 +1.5 +7.1
  Nov 18, 2012 307   Northern Arizona L 82-85 85%     0 - 2 -15.7 -2.4 -13.2
  Nov 20, 2012 286   @ Sacramento St. W 87-76 62%     1 - 2 +6.3 +2.5 +2.5
  Nov 28, 2012 149   @ Nevada L 83-84 29%     1 - 3 +3.1 +8.8 -5.7
  Dec 01, 2012 200   @ Idaho L 66-73 38%     1 - 4 -5.5 -14.4 +9.2
  Dec 05, 2012 302   San Jose St. L 64-73 84%     1 - 5 -21.4 -13.8 -7.2
  Dec 15, 2012 46   @ Stanford L 52-75 9%     1 - 6 -9.7 -15.4 +5.9
  Dec 17, 2012 300   Eastern Washington W 87-65 84%     2 - 6 +9.6 +9.4 +0.7
  Dec 20, 2012 161   Southern Illinois W 78-70 43%     3 - 6 +8.2 +4.4 +3.9
  Dec 21, 2012 116   @ Utah St. L 61-73 21%     3 - 7 -5.3 -4.3 -2.6
  Dec 22, 2012 288   Nicholls St. W 82-71 73%     4 - 7 +2.8 +9.7 -6.1
  Dec 29, 2012 135   @ UC Irvine L 58-69 OT 25%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -5.6 -8.7 +2.7
  Jan 05, 2013 115   Pacific L 64-74 42%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -9.7 -11.6 +2.0
  Jan 10, 2013 132   Cal Poly W 69-67 47%     5 - 9 1 - 2 +1.1 -1.4 +2.7
  Jan 12, 2013 205   UC Santa Barbara L 59-66 64%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -12.3 -7.4 -5.8
  Jan 17, 2013 212   @ Cal St. Northridge W 74-71 41%     6 - 10 2 - 3 +3.7 -5.9 +9.4
  Jan 19, 2013 192   @ Hawaii W 93-82 36%     7 - 10 3 - 3 +13.0 +13.7 -1.3
  Jan 24, 2013 196   Cal St. Fullerton L 88-95 62%     7 - 11 3 - 4 -11.8 +4.4 -15.9
  Jan 26, 2013 291   UC Riverside W 79-72 82%     8 - 11 4 - 4 -4.6 +13.1 -16.9
  Feb 02, 2013 115   @ Pacific L 64-77 21%     8 - 12 4 - 5 -6.3 -3.6 -3.4
  Feb 07, 2013 205   @ UC Santa Barbara W 64-56 39%     9 - 12 5 - 5 +9.1 -5.4 +14.7
  Feb 09, 2013 132   @ Cal Poly L 53-68 24%     9 - 13 5 - 6 -9.4 -10.5 -1.4
  Feb 14, 2013 192   Hawaii W 89-65 61%     10 - 13 6 - 6 +19.5 +11.4 +7.9
  Feb 16, 2013 212   Cal St. Northridge W 73-61 65%     11 - 13 7 - 6 +6.2 -3.9 +10.3
  Feb 20, 2013 142   @ Long Beach St. L 65-71 27%     11 - 14 7 - 7 -1.2 -2.4 +0.8
  Feb 23, 2013 251   Northern Colorado W 79-78 74%     12 - 14 -7.5 -0.5 -7.0
  Feb 28, 2013 291   @ UC Riverside W 59-52 63%     13 - 14 8 - 7 +1.9 -9.9 +12.1
  Mar 02, 2013 196   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 71-68 37%     14 - 14 9 - 7 +4.6 +0.1 +4.8
  Mar 07, 2013 142   Long Beach St. L 76-77 50%     14 - 15 9 - 8 -2.6 +3.8 -6.5
  Mar 09, 2013 135   UC Irvine L 85-88 48%     14 - 16 9 - 9 -4.1 +9.0 -12.9
  Mar 14, 2013 132   Cal Poly L 41-64 35%     14 - 17 -20.7 -26.1 +1.5
Projected Record 14.0 - 17.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%